Original title: Cambio demográfico en las regiones de Colombia (in Spanish)

Authors: Juliana Jaramillo-Echeverri and Alejandro Sarasti Sierra

Book chapter for the volume on 30 years of the Center for Regional Economic Studies (CEER), Banco de la República, edited by J. Bonet and C. Granger.

Replication code and data (GitHub)

Summary. Over its 30 years, the CEER has produced a broad body of research on Colombia’s population: 45 studies on population growth, fertility, mortality and migration, covering periods from the colonial era to the present and scales from the national to the municipal. This chapter reviews the main contributions of that work on the three components of demographic change and proposes an agenda for future research. As an additional contribution, and given that the literature lacks an annual departmental series of fertility rates for Colombia, the chapter builds new departmental fertility series, by period and by cohort, from open census microdata, with replication code that allows the estimates to be reproduced and updated as new data become available.

Total fertility rate for Antioquia, Caldas, Huila and Tolima, 1958–2015, decomposed by mother's age group, compared with the national total and the replacement level of 2.1.
Total fertility rate by age group of the mother, central Andean departments, 1958–2015. The red line is the national total and the dotted line marks replacement fertility (2.1); the vertical line marks the founding of Profamilia in 1965. Labels in the original Spanish. Source: authors' calculations based on IPUMS and DANE.

Presentation

Authors’ workshop for the CEER 30-year volume, Banco de la República, Bogotá, 25 November 2026.